Securing victory in a by-election poses a notable challenge for the ruling government, especially when faced with uncertainties surrounding Keir Starmer’s leadership, a string of controversies, and numerous policy reversals.
The atmosphere at the Gorton and Denton by-election count began to shift around 1am as Labour sources raised concerns about unexpectedly high turnout from Green Party supporters.
Describing it as “by-election fever,” Labour sources downplayed the possibility of the Green Party replicating this success on a national level.
By 2:30am, Labour’s Deputy leader Lucy Powell took to the media amidst a backdrop of Labour activists, acknowledging the Greens’ victory and implying Labour’s defeat. Powell expressed admiration for Labour’s candidate, Angeliki Stogia, in the past tense, hinting at a loss.
She emphasized the constituency’s significant majority not voting for Reform and acknowledged the Greens’ effective messaging strategy that resonated with voters.
Shortly after, a confident Green Party source stated, “We are very confident of a win.”
Powell recognized the public’s desire for clarity on Labour’s narrative and pledged to address this in the upcoming weeks.
Labour’s struggle with identity has been ongoing, evidenced by previous instances such as the party’s backtrack on welfare cuts, prompting calls for a shift towards the left among party members.
Labour MPs have consistently cautioned against adopting Reform-like policies on immigration and deportations, fearing a loss of support to both left-wing and right-wing parties.
The feared outcome materialized as Labour found itself trailing in third place, losing votes to both left and right-wing competitors.
A warning from an MP highlighted the high stakes of the by-election, suggesting that a third-place finish could signal the end for Keir Starmer’s leadership.

